BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Central Arkansas
Class: 1B Class Rank: 11 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (9-0) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength = 144.50
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 130.99 19 55 1A 33 ( 8- 5) Kansas St -14.32 -21.68
2 09/09/2017 Away W 150.72 41 13 1B 81 ( 3- 8) Murray St 5.41 22.59
3 09/16/2017 Home W * 164.64 38 6 1B 36 ( 6- 5) SE Louisiana 19.32 12.68
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 150.38 41 30 1B 20 ( 12- 2) Sam Houston St 5.06 5.94
5 10/07/2017 Away W * 134.66 27 7 1B 102 ( 1- 10) Houston Baptist -10.66 30.66
6 10/14/2017 Home W * 121.17 24 20 1B 76 ( 4- 7) Stephen F. Austin -24.15 28.15
7 10/21/2017 Away W * 151.25 45 17 1B 75 ( 4- 7) Northwestern St 5.93 22.07
8 10/28/2017 Home W * 162.36 47 17 1B 37 ( 9- 2) McNeese St 17.04 12.96
9 11/04/2017 Away W * 142.90 42 14 1B 96 ( 2- 9) Lamar -2.41 30.41
10 11/11/2017 Away W * 154.26 56 10 1B 107 ( 1- 10) Incarnate Word 8.95 * 37.05
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 152.14 34 0 1B 78 ( 2- 9) Abilene Christian 6.83 27.17
12 12/02/2017 Home L 128.32 15 21 1B 31 ( 9- 5) New Hampshire -17.00 11.00
Averages 145.32 35.8 17.5
Best game: 164.64 = 32 point win over SE Louisiana
Worst game: 121.17 = 4 point win over Stephen F. Austin
Team stdev: 13.74